The Matchday 37 encounter in Serie A between Genoa and Atalanta will take place on May 17 at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium. Genoa vs. Atalanta: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Genoa
In the last round, Patrick Vieira's team managed to take points from Napoli on their home turf (2-2). However, Genoa extended their winless run in the league to five matches (2 draws, 3 losses). Notably, the team scored more than one goal for the first time in their last seven Serie A matches. In the standings, the club has 40 points and holds the 13th position, ensuring they will not drop lower.
- The team has not lost in 6 of their last 8 home Serie A matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
- The club scored exactly one or two goals in 8 of their last 9 home league matches.
- Genoa has conceded no more than one goal in 6 of their last 8 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Genoa (4-5-1)
Benjamin Siegrist – Stefano Sabelli, Johan Vasquez, Sebastian Otoa, Honest Ahanor – Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Morten Frendrup, Patrizio Masini, Junior Messias, Vitinha – Andrea Pinamonti.
Midfielders Ruslan Malinovskyi and Fabio Miretti will miss the game due to injuries.
Atalanta
Gian Piero Gasperini's side defeated Roma 2-1 at home in the last round. As a result, Atalanta extended their unbeaten run in the league to five matches (4 wins, 1 draw). Additionally, the club conceded just two goals during this period. The Bergamaschi have accumulated 71 points and are in third place in the standings, already securing a Champions League spot for next season. Notably, Atalanta has scored 73 goals in the current championship, ranking second only to Inter (75) in this regard.
- The team has not lost in 14 of their last 15 away Serie A matches (11 wins, 3 draws).
- Players scored in the second half in 6 of their last 7 away league games.
- Atalanta has kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 8 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Raoul Bellanova, Odilon Kossounou – Marten de Roon, Ederson Lourenco, Mario Pasalic, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Mateo Retegui, Ademola Lookman.
Defenders Sead Kolasinac and Giorgio Scalvini, midfielder Juan Cuadrado, and forward Gianluca Scamacca will miss the match due to injuries. Defender Berat Djimsiti is suspended.
Referee
Davide Ghersini (Italy)
Matches – 13 (Serie B, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 23%.
Match Prediction: Genoa vs. Atalanta
Genoa tends to play cautiously, even at home, and avoids taking excessive risks. This style of play does not yield many goals: in their last 15 home league matches, Genoa scored more than once only in five encounters. In four of those cases, their opponents were teams ranked below them in the standings – Lecce, Venice, Monza, Cagliari. In five matches during this period, Genoa did not score at all.
Atalanta is confident on the road, both in attack and defense, rarely making costly mistakes at the back. In their last 15 away Serie A matches, Gian Piero Gasperini's team did not allow opponents to score more than one goal, and in ten of those games, they kept a clean sheet. Notably, in away games against Milan, Juventus, Napoli, and Roma this season, Atalanta did not concede.
I do not think the hosts will shine in attack in this match. My prediction: Genoa Individual Total Under 1
